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“特朗普交易”引爆比特币狂飙,黄金跌破50日均线,谁是最后的赢家? - 站长搜索
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“特朗普交易”引爆比特币狂飙,黄金跌破50日均线,谁是最后的赢家?

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2024-11-12 09:29:25 转载来源:

英文:The Redmi K80 Series Defies Market Trends: Balanced Performance as the Key to Success, Unveiling the Current State of the Smartphone Market

“特朗普交易”引爆比特币狂飙,黄金跌破50日均线,谁是最后的赢家?本周一,比特币直接升破 88000 美元,日内暴涨超 11%,比特币 ETF 交易量出现爆炸性增长,币圈信心大增,押注这波上涨才刚刚开始,甚至可能一直延续至特朗普就职前。自特朗普显露获胜迹象以来,比特币涨超 25%,周一比特币 ETF 交易量激增

特朗普交易引爆比特狂飙黄金跌破50日均线,谁是最后的赢家?

本周一,比特币直接升破 88000 美元,日内暴涨超 11%,比特币 ETF 交易量出现爆炸性增长,币圈信心大增,押注这波上涨才刚刚开始,甚至可能一直延续至特朗普就职前。自特朗普显露获胜迹象以来,比特币涨超 25%,周一比特币 ETF 交易量激增。然而相比之下,此前闪耀全场的黄金却表现黯淡。自大选以来,金价大幅下跌,目前已跌破 50 日均线,直逼 2600 美元重大关口位置,冲淡了本月金价屡创新高给市场带来的欣喜。

 “特朗普交易”引爆比特币狂飙,黄金跌破50日均线,谁是最后的赢家?

2600 美元是黄金重磅关口价位,比特币/黄金比率也接近最近高点。为什么短短数日内,会出现比特币暴涨、黄金大跌的情景?分析认为,“川普 2.0”或将更加偏向“小政府”思想,利好比特币这种“去中心化”资产,这种审慎的财政风格也削弱了黄金作为避险资产的吸引力。

 “特朗普交易”引爆比特币狂飙,黄金跌破50日均线,谁是最后的赢家?

彭博分析师 John Stepek 表示,首先比特币之所以上涨,是因为许多人认为特朗普的执政风格可能更偏向“小政府”思想,即减少政府干预和支出,而不是现代货币理论 (MMT) 所支持的“大政府”,通过扩张性财政政策来增加支出并促进经济增长。在这种情况下,比特币作为一种“去中心化”资产或将受益。

 “特朗普交易”引爆比特币狂飙,黄金跌破50日均线,谁是最后的赢家?

而黄金大跌也可以用相似的观点来解释。此前市场预计特朗普上台就自动意味着更高的财政支出和更大的赤字,这也在一段时间里成为金价的有力支撑。但如今市场的预期变了,特朗普可能并不会激进地扩大政府支出,甚至采取更为审慎的态度,而这就压制住了黄金的避险属性,削弱了黄金作为对冲工具的吸引力。

 “特朗普交易”引爆比特币狂飙,黄金跌破50日均线,谁是最后的赢家?

此外,按照 Spectra Markets 分析师 Brent Donnelly 的说法,本轮美国大选也让政客们意识到,一定要重视民众对通胀的不满情绪。因此“川普 2.0”可能也会更加重视通胀管理,而这导致黄金的需求被进一步削弱,并且增强了比特币作为新兴资产的吸引力。

“小政府”思想的盛行,可能将成为未来一段时间内市场的主旋律。这种思想不仅会影响美联储的货币政策,还会影响到全球其他国家的经济政策。因此,比特币作为一种“去中心化”的数字资产,具有较高的抗通胀属性,其未来前景值得期待。

然而,也有一些分析师认为,比特币的涨势可能难以持续。他们指出,比特币价格波动较大,其价值受到市场情绪的影响很大。此外,比特币的交易量仍远小于传统的金融市场,其流动性也存在一定风险。

无论如何,“特朗普交易”的出现无疑给金融市场带来了新的变量。投资者需要密切关注未来政策的变化,谨慎做出投资决策。

英文:The Redmi K80 Series Defies Market Trends: Balanced Performance as the Key to Success, Unveiling the Current State of the Smartphone Market

标签: 特朗普交易 引爆 比特 狂飙 黄金 跌破 50日 均线 是最


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